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The Daily Flip · Statistics Desk

Gov. DeSantis Takes Credit for a Crime Drop the Same Afternoon the President Stood in the Same State Taking Credit for It

The governor cites $4 billion and a 10 percent statewide decline; the White House cites the FBI; the FBI cites 2022, when neither of them was in charge of the trend

Press photo: a giant golden trophy standing in the middle of a suburban intersection with two thick ropes tied to it pulling in opposite directions out of frame, a shrinking bar chart painted across the crosswalk
Staff photo · The statistic, claimed from both ends
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TALLAHASSEE — Gov. DeSantis announced on Friday that the administration's nearly $4 billion in public-safety spending since taking office had driven crime to record lows, citing a roughly 10 percent statewide drop and steep declines in shootings — a release timed, whether by design or by the calendar's sense of humor, to the very afternoon the President of the United States stood at a police academy in the governor's own state crediting the same decline to the White House.

The FBI's own figures, released the same day, show violent crime down more than 9 percent nationally and murder down more than 18 percent last year, the largest one-year drops on record — and show both rates falling every year since 2022, a start date that predates the current occupants of the White House and postdates the governor's swearing-in by only a matter of months. The trend, in other words, has been declining under everyone, and everyone has a press release.

DeSantis's office attributes the state's numbers to a billion dollars in violence-prevention programs and hundreds of millions in equipment; the White House attributes the national numbers to federal enforcement; and the FBI, in the least quotable document of the day, attributes them to the data. The Press's statistics desk notes that a falling line on a chart is the only object in American politics that two rival executives will claim simultaneously in the same afternoon without either party's press office noticing the other.

The Press further notes, from its archives, that when crime was rising, both offices identified the responsible party with equal confidence, and that in each case it was the other office.

Reaction followed the standing choreography. Voters aligned with the governor credited the state's investments; voters aligned with the president credited the president; and voters aligned with neither credited a decade of national trends, which cannot be photographed at a police academy. The Press archives confirm both parties own the vocabulary — 'our policies are working' and 'they had nothing to do with it' — and swap it, precinct by precinct, depending on whose statehouse and whose White House the numbers fall in.

The chart, contacted for comment, continued downward, and declined to say for whom.

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📜 The Receipts

What actually happened: Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-N.Y.) touted nearly $4 billion in public-safety investment since taking office and cited a 10 percent statewide crime drop and steep declines in shootings on August 14 — the same day President Trump visited the Nassau County Police Academy on Long Island to credit his administration with the FBI's newly released 2025 figures showing record national drops in violent crime and murder, both of which have fallen annually since 2022.

Original actor: Hochul (D) · Flipped to: DeSantis (R)

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